Palatable strategies for the Covid-19 epilogue — Dr Dhesi Baha Raja | Malay Mail

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MAY 7 — As the world grapples with the containment of the Covid-19 pandemic whilst it crushes socio-economic foundations and brings world-leaders to their knees, the question at the back of our minds is how will the story-line end? Known to all is the balancing act of instilling lockdowns which,...

Thursday, 07 May 2020 09:14 AM MYT

In countries which have opted for the former approach the question remains as to the duration necessary for the implementation of the lockdown and the method in which it should be eased i.e. the ‘exit strategy’. The buzzword being ‘flattening the curve’ referring to reducing the number of infected individuals within a community over a period of time has become a daily preoccupation.

China is one of the major countries that has managed to bring down the number of new cases to very low levels based on official figures. This was achieved by a strict implementation of lockdown that went beyond the level practised in Europe and many other countries. United Kingdom is comparatively behind in imposing a strict movement restriction. After nearly two weeks of implementation, an upward trend in daily cases with an exponential growth of above 13 per cent was observed until recently. As in the case of its neighbouring countries, it may take another week or two before the first signs of a positive effect could be observed.

The finding revealed that the longer the lockdown period, the lower the frequency and incidence peaks. However by prolonged lockdowns, proxy indices of economic and social operations are significantly reduced.

 

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