MIER predicts GDP contraction of -5.5pc for 2020 for Malaysian economy, says Agong’s decision on emergency bid averted steeper decline | Malay Mail

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MIER predicts GDP contraction of -5.5pc for 2020 for Malaysian economy, says Agong’s decision on emergency bid averted steeper decline

Mier, in its third-quarter outlook report on the Malaysian economy published today, projected an annual gross domestic product contraction of -5.5 per cent for the year 2020. — Picture by Hari Anggara

Mier also predicted negative effects for the already reeling local economy, if a recent attempt by Prime Minister Tan Sri Muhyiddin Yassin to declare a state of emergency had been successful. The report then warned that its GDP projection for this year still remains subject to the level of compliance to ongoing pandemic measures and how fast the infection can be contained, which are the main factors hindering economic growth.

The report noted that despite recording a contraction of 17.1 per cent in the second quarter of 2020, the worst performance since 1998, it projects the economy to record growth of 2.0 to 2.5 per cent in the third quarter thanks to the government’s Prihatin and Penjana stimulus packages. “As the flattening of the pandemic had taken six months in the first wave, we expect the flattening of this third wave to take at least the same amount of time and will delay the recovery to the first quarter of 2021,” it noted.

Unemployment rates in the third quarter went up, said Mier, with 40 per cent of respondents admitting to downsizing, compared to the 6 per cent of respondents who released employees in the second quarter.

 

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