From brittle armistice to permanent peace

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With leaders of both North and South Korea ramping up belligerent rhetoric, a formal peace agreement is as elusive as it was in 1953.

Elusive peace: A military fence at Imjingak peace park near the DMZ that is full of ribbons wishing for peace and the unification of the Korean Peninsula. But unification remains distant. — Photos: AFP

This year also marks the 70th anniversary of the South Korea-United States Mutual Defence Treaty, which is hailed as the linchpin of the alliance between Seoul and Washington. The two sides celebrated the success of the alliance during President Yoon Suk Yeol’s state visit to Washington in April.

The motive is widely viewed as a means of securing the survival of the North’s communist regime and leveraging dealings with the United States. The regime has survived through successive descendants of Kim Il-Sung, who triggered the Korean War, but the price has been hefty: international isolation and a general population constantly struggling for food and other necessities.

A test-fire of the new Hwasongpho-18 ICBM at an undisclosed location in North Korea. The main roadblock to enduring peace is undoubtedly the North’s continuous advances in nuclear armament. “Diplomacy with North Korea must factor in an understanding of the Kim regime’s fears and insecurity,” says Patrick M. Cronin, the Asia-Pacific security chair at US think tank the Hudson Institute, in his 2021 report, “Fear and Insecurity: Addressing North Korean Threat Perceptions.”

“Given the huge gap in national power between North and South, an unfavourable development of the international environment for the North and its bankrupt economy, North Korea is seeking survival amidst fears of absorption by the South,” Lim wrote in his book,

 

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