Five scenarios for Ukraine after Russia invasion | Malay Mail

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PARIS, March 5 — Russia’s invasion of Ukraine on February 24 shocked the world but President Vladimir Putin shows no sign of pulling back. Here are possible scenarios for the weeks and months ahead, according to Western government sources and think-tank experts. 1. Military quagmire Ukrainian...

PARIS, March 5 — Russia’s invasion of Ukraine on February 24 shocked the world but President Vladimir Putin shows no sign of pulling back.

Vast numbers of Ukrainians have also joined territorial defence units and there remain questions about the morale of the Russian army and its logistical support. Pressure from Beijing, increasingly a Kremlin ally under President Xi Jinping, might also be necessary.Russian President Vladimir Putin is keeping a close eye on domestic dissent.

Though not seen as likely at this stage, the possibility of Putin being brought down in a popular backlash or even a palace coup is not being ruled out. “Getting into a city is not the same as holding it,” wrote British warfare historian and King’s College London professor Lawrence Freedman on Substack this week.Ukraine has a border with four former Soviet states that are now members of the US-led Nato military alliance, which considers an attack on one member to be an attack against all.

“Neutral Sweden is keeping a watchful eye on Russia’s intentions towards the Gotland island in the Baltic Sea,” wrote analyst Bruno Tertrais for the Montaigne Institute, a French think-tank.

 

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