Experts say China virus outbreak will last months at least | Malay Mail

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WASHINGTON, Jan 28 — The deadly new coronavirus that has broken out in China, 2019-nCoV, will afflict a minimum of tens of thousands of people and will last at least several months, researchers estimate based on the first available data. “The best case scenario, you would have something......

Workers in protective suits monitor a screen showing the thermal scan to check temperatures of passengers arriving at the Nanjing Railway Station, China January 27, 2020. — cnsphoto via Reuters

“It's not something that's going to end the next week or the next month,” said Alessandro Vespignani, a professor at Northeastern University. He is part of a group of researchers that manages an online dashboard about the outbreak. US health authorities said yesterday they had not seen evidence that asymptomatic patients can infect other people. But if they can, this would definitely change the outbreak's dynamics.Patience

She said the rate is 1.3 for seasonal flu and between two and five for Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome , which resulted in 8,000 cases and 774 deaths, the majority in mainland China and Hong Kong in 2002-2003. In comparison, the rate for measles ranges from 12 to 18. “The more we learn about it, the more it looks like SARS,” said Fisman. “SARS was controllable; hopefully this will be too. But we won't know for a few weeks.”The official number of cases is more than 4,000 in China, with more than 100 deaths, and some 50 confirmed infections outside the country.

 

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