Coronavirus contagion rate makes it hard to control

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A scientist says it is unclear if outbreak can be contained within China. FMTNews China

LONDON: Each person infected with coronavirus is passing the disease on to between two and three other people on average at current transmission rates, according to two separate scientific analyses of the epidemic.

The death toll from the coronavirus outbreak jumped to 56 on Saturday, with more than 1,400 people infected worldwide – the vast majority in China. A second study by researchers at Britain’s Lancaster University also calculated the contagion rate at 2.5 new people on average being infected by each person already infected.

Raina MacIntyre, head of the Biosecurity Research Program at the Kirby Institute, at the University of New South Wales in Australia, said on Saturday that it is highly concerning that in recent days the infection has become widespread.

 

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