Bank Negara actively managing ringgit's risk from external development

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KUALA LUMPUR: Bank Negara Malaysia governor Tan Sri Nor Shamsiah Mohd Yunus in an exclusive interview with Bernama shares pertinent points and explanation on the ringgit amid its recent developments.

Question 1: The ringgit has taken a dip versus the US dollar and Singapore dollar in recent weeks. Why is this happening?

Second, investor nervousness about the conflict in Ukraine and signs of weakness in the global growth momentum is also contributing to higher demand for US dollar-denominated assets as it is perceived to be a safer currency. This is also known as a ‘flight to safety’. The VIX or investor ‘fear index’ has risen to 31 points compared to 18 points on average. The IMF has revised down its global growth forecast twice this year already , with 2022 growth revised lower to 3.6 per cent .

Let me first tackle the impact of a depreciating ringgit on inflation. No doubt, there will be elements of that. The flipside is also true. A stronger ringgit will negatively affect export-oriented sectors, but benefit consumption of imported items. Our exports also grew by 1.6 per cent in ringgit terms. Our goods and services were also relatively cheaper, thus making it more attractive to buyers. In times of weaker global demand, this helps our businesses protect some parts of their revenue and help limit the job losses to Malaysians.

Since the Global Financial Crisis of 2007/2008, the ringgit has experienced two-way movements, with both appreciation and depreciation episodes. Excluding large crisis periods, the Malaysian economy has registered stable growth of around 5.4 per cent, inflation between 1.5 per cent and 2.5 per cent and the unemployment rate to average around 3.2 per cent.

 

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Actively in this context means reactively!

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