Covid-19 wave ‘at or beyond’ halfway point, says HSE’s chief clinician

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The current wave of Covid-19 infections should peak in the next week or two given the experience of Portugal and based on other key indicators, a leading immunologist has said

Ireland is at or just past half-way through a six-week Covid-19 wave if trends follow Portugal’s recent experience, HSE chief clinical officer Dr Colm Henry has said.

Dr Henry said the slower increase in the number of Covid-19 hospitalisations compared with the last wave in March was a positive sign, but he expressed concern at an increase in infections during the summer with hospitals experiencing pressures “akin to the levels of January” in July. He said the new subvariants had a “significant growth advantage” and anyone infected by the Delta last summer or autumn or the early Omicron strain last winter could now be reinfected.

“We are probably about four weeks into our climb and we are nearly at the stage where it will start to plateau in the next week or two,” she said. Paul Moynagh, professor of immunology at Maynooth University said the State was “maybe halfway through” a four- to six-week wave, similar to Portugal’s experience.

 

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So…since when did immunologists become experts in epidemiology? Just joking…we are all able to have opinions on the data…but what gives Henry more credence than others? Especially those whose expertise is not fully relevant?

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