Power broker takes lead in Nigeria’s presidential election

Bola Tinubu, the wealthy kingmaker of Nigerian politics for decades, has taken a strong lead in Nigeria’s presidential election and is now the favourite to become the country’s new leader, despite a stunning defeat at the hands of third-party candidate Peter Obi in his home base of Lagos.

His narrow loss to Mr. Obi – who received 582,454 votes in Lagos, about 10,000 more than Mr. Tinubu – was a sign of the discontent of young urban voters, many of whom turned to the third-party candidate in frustration over Nigeria’s economic stagnation and rising poverty. He was running third in the early national results on Monday, with about 18 per cent of the vote, compared with 44 per cent for Mr. Tinubu. Even this, however, is likely to reinvent Nigerian politics and expose the widespread discontent with the two-party system that has dominated the country since the end of military rule in 1999.

A poll last year by the Afrobarometer agency found that just 10 per cent of Nigerians believed the country was going in the right direction, and only one-fifth were satisfied with how Nigeria’s democracy was working. Both numbers have sharply declined in recent years. The poll was based on a survey of 1,600 people.

The two main opposition parties, the Peoples Democratic Party and the Labour Party, denounced the vote-counting process and walked out of the room where the results were being announced on Monday. They complained of a lack of transparency in a new electronic tabulation system. The PDP candidate, Atiku Abubakar, was running second in the early results with about 33 per cent of the vote.

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