David Roseneberg: This massive bull market in passive investing will end in tears for boomers who don’t rebalance

  • 📰 globeandmail
  • ⏱ Reading Time:
  • 77 sec. here
  • 50 min. at publisher
  • 📊 Quality Score:
  • News: 198%
  • Publisher: 92%

Canadian News News

Canada News,Breaking News Video,Canadian Breaking News

The next bear market will carry with it a retirement crisis that nobody is willing to discuss

I try to invest rationally, not emotionally. That means that while I never participate fully in a bull market, I also manage to avoid bear markets.

Meanwhile, we have a situation where well over 70% of the U.S. household sector’s financial assets are concentrated in the equity market . Few have chosen to take profits or rebalance their portfolio in what is among the top 10% most expensive U.S. markets of all time, with a forward P/E multiple north of 21x .

Such is human nature. Please let me explain: This is about the structure of today’s market. The elephant in the room. Which is that the most highly overvalued and bifurcated equity market since the late 1990s is occurring at the same time that households have exposed themselves to concentration risk to a degree that they don’t remotely appreciate, or even understand. Over half of the market today is owned by passive index funds.

Put simply, this is a bull market that has been built on the general public investing blindly. This also gets tied up into a demographic problem, but only because the aging and aged throng of baby boomers are behaving as though they are in their 30s, as opposed to their 60s and 70s. Something tells me we are going to see one boom take hold, which is a surge in these currently retired boomers applying for cashier jobs at the local grocery store once the tide goes out.

In a bear market, the buying dries up because even potential bargain-hunters with liquidity are hesitant to come in and support the market as prices deflate. This is why every bear market ends with valuations at stupid-low levels, just as the bubble peak ends at crazy-high multiples.

Source: News Formal (newsformal.com)

Canada News Breaking News Video Canadian Breaking News Breaking News Globe And Mail Breaking News Globe And Mail Canada News Photos World News Local News National News Us News Foreign News Sports News Arts News Life News Lifestyle Canada Traffic Canada Weather Trudeau Government Federal Government Canada Sports Canada Sports News Politics Politics News Political News Political Opinion Environment Economy Technology Education Travel Canada Alberta Bc British Columbia Manitoba Ontario Quebec Nova Scotia Pei New Brunswick Newfoundland And Labrador Nunavut Northwest Territories Yukon Globe And Mail

 

Thank you for your comment. Your comment will be published after being reviewed.
Please try again later.
We have summarized this news so that you can read it quickly. If you are interested in the news, you can read the full text here. Read more:

 /  🏆 5. in CA

Canada Latest News, Canada Headlines

Similar News:You can also read news stories similar to this one that we have collected from other news sources.

David Sovka: Why the health-care system needs more Georges (please never, ever retire)My doctor — let’s call him “George” because that is his real name — provides professional services and expert opinions, such as: “Have you gained weight?” and refers me to specialists who keep me alive
Source: timescolonist - 🏆 15. / 75 Read more »

David Sovka: Why the health-care system needs more Georges (please never, ever retire)My doctor — let’s call him “George” because that is his real name — provides professional services and expert opinions, such as: “Have you gained weight?” and refers me to specialists who keep me alive
Source: BurnabyNOW_News - 🏆 14. / 77 Read more »

Family, leaders mark boardwalk opening in memory of David OnleyThe Toronto Zoo says its latest boardwalk, named in honour of former lieutenant-governor David. C Onley, is meant to help people of all abilities navigate the zoo.
Source: CBCToronto - 🏆 51. / 61 Read more »

Alibaba’s AliExpress recruits David Beckham to ‘score more’ global salesEarlier this year, AliExpress signed on as a sponsor of the UEFA Euro 2024 tournament where it will invest millions of dollars in discounts, deals and engagement to attract online consumers
Source: globeandmail - 🏆 5. / 92 Read more »

David Cronenberg channels the death of his wife for his most tender and emotional movie yetFrench actor Vincent Cassel, Canadian director David Cronenberg and German actress Diane Kruger arrive for the screening of the film 'The Shrouds' at the 77th edition of the Cannes Film Festival in Cannes, southern France, on May 20, 2024.
Source: CBC - 🏆 32. / 63 Read more »

Lily Allen Says She Lets Husband David Harbour Control Her Phone Because Smartphones Are 'Evil'Lily Allen believes smartphones have 'destroyed us as a species,' which is one of the reasons why she and David Harbour control each other's phones.
Source: boredpanda - 🏆 18. / 72 Read more »