Why Putin didn’t declare war as Russia marked Victory Day

Western analysts were watching President Putin’s Victory Day speech with intense scrutiny this year. It was, as expected, full of patriotic statements of great past deeds and the sacrifices of the Russian people. His words were in part a commemoration and in part a declaration of Russian intent. Putin praised the military personnel of Russia. He acknowledged their sacrifices – and those of their families – while reserving special praise for army medical personnel.

the Russian public that their special military operation, supposedly a quick military invention, had been neither quick nor special. By now, the Russian people are probably aware of the flow home of dead and disfigured soldiers. Placing a spotlight on this issue would only make Putin seem weaker, and not stronger.

Mobilisation would also demand a huge influx of resources to train and arm a force that has suffered hideous losses of people and equipment since February 24. And it would require Russia to increase its output of military hardware to replace losses in Ukraine and equip an expanded army. This would have been a significant challenge given how the sanctions regime has cut Russia off from many of the advanced technologies necessary for modern weapons manufacture.

The same reason he didn't declare war with Ukraine.

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