Trailing Tories decide this is as good as their prospects will get

For many in Sunak’s party, going to the country in these circumstances seems like madness. But Tory strategists concluded their position – which has been the same for over a year – was unlikely to improve in the next six months.under David Cameron unexpectedly won a majority, dashing Ed Miliband’s hopes of becoming prime minister. In the run-up, most pollsters had suggested that the two main parties were neck and neck.

The Conservatives have not been ahead in any published opinion poll since 6 December 2021, according to Twyman, while Labour has had a double-digit lead since 26 September 2022.widened to a whopping 30 points during Liz Truss’ brief premiership in the autumn of 2022. It fell to about 20 points after Sunak took over as prime minister and has remained broadly steady since.

“The key figures underlining that, when you look beyond the headlines, are the data on leadership and on the economy,” Twyman added. “It’s never been the case that a party has won the most seats in a general election by being behind on those two. The Conservatives have been behind by some distance for some time.”

Source: Financial Digest (financialdigest.net)

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