The Conservative party will lose almost 1,000 years of Commons experience just from MPs who have already announced they are standing down, a Guardian analysis has shown, amid an exodus likely to be even greater than in 1997.– this includes four who have since lost the whip and sit as independents – which is close to one in five of the total.
Notably, however, of the 66 Tories, nine are stepping down after just one term. Three more entered parliament in 2017 and eight in 2015, meaning almost a third of those quitting have been MPs for less than a decade. This sort of pattern in which long-serving MPs from a governing party decided to quit before a probable general election losswas not unusual, said Tim Bale, a professor of politics at Queen Mary University of London, and was seen in 1997 and, to a lesser extent, with Labour MPs in 2010.
“So perhaps in the 1960s and 70s, many MPs might have assumed they’d be in opposition, say, for five years. Now you’ll be lucky to get back into government within 10 to 15 years.”
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