The COVID-19 pandemic shocked the global economy, countered by central banks with a massive increase in fiscal and monetary stimulus. The pandemic shocked globally integrated supply chains,
Central banks were already walking a tightrope by trying to figure out how to wind back the huge stimulus of the pandemic without derailing the global economic recovery. Inflationary pressures from Ukraine and Russia make that path much harder to calibrate.If central banks keep policy too loose, our expectation of inflation could become entrenched. Then, when growth eventually slows after the post-pandemic surge, we’re left with stagflation.
Accountability for the design of supply chains used to be the job of the chief operations officer, with a focus on efficiency. Now the chief risk officer wants a say, bringing a different set of priorities to bear.If efficiency is no longer the sole focus of supply chains, then corporate costs will go up.
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