With the bye rounds done and dusted, we can see September on the horizon. There’s just nine rounds left of the 2024 season - so who’s playing finals?Which teams could take advantage of an easy draw to climb the ladder, and which clubs could tumble down the table based on a tough run of games?
Watch every game of every round this Toyota AFL Premiership Season LIVE with no ad-breaks during play on Kayo. New to Kayo?The below projections predict each game on a percentage chance basis, and then use those odds to give each team a projected win total. For example, we might say two teams have a 50 per cent chance each of winning a very even game. So they’d each get 0.5 projected wins for their total. If it’s an almost certain blowout, it might be 90-10, so the favourite gets 0.9 projected wins. That’s why almost all teams have a projection that’s not a round number.
It’s all about probability, and it’s more accurate than trying to tip wins and losses, because no-one can tip nine every round. It also means the predicted win totals are naturally conservative at the top, and optimistic at the bottom - and it’s hard for teams to catch up to sides who are multiple wins ahead of them . If you’re able to win a bunch of 50-50s, you’ll make these projections look silly, but that’s not something anyone can predict anyway.is calculated using the average percentage of remaining opponents.
Will Trust Max Laughton Ladder Leaders Pedestrian Percentage St Kilda Elimination Final Simon Goodiwn Port Adelaide Power Gold Coast Suns Sam De Koning Finals Race North Melbourne Kangaroos Finals Time Victoria Predicted Win Totals The Gabba Craig Mcrae Justin Longmuir Perennial Contender Projections Work North Melbourne Press Canberra Sydney Finals Footy Port Adelaide Remaining Home Games Adelaide Crows South Australia Pressure Heading Pedestrian Version Predicted Ladder Finals Chances Ken Hinkley Run Home Remaining Draw Brilliant Travellers Chelsea Football Club Port Adelaide Press David Zita Adam Kingsley Matthew Nicks Home Prelim Western Bulldogs Mars Stadium Adam Simpson Australia Queensland Qualifying Final Side Quest Alert Remaining Games Melbourne Opposition Quality Alastair Clarkson Preliminary Final Bottom-Four Ladder Position Trade Period Chris Scott Ladder Order Gold Coast Remaining Fixture Advantages Teams Chris Fagan Tough Qualifying Final West Coast Eagles Greater Western Sydney Football Club Premiership Contender Luke Beveridge Wiggle Room Patrick Dangerfield Coast Eagles Projected Wins Top-Four Spot Michael Voss Interstate Games Ladder Predictor Top-Eight Contenders Essendon Bombers New South Wales Consecutive Bottom-Two Finish Back-To-Back Finals Berths Clear Percentage Advantage Melbourne Demons Oceania Sydney Swans Road Games Brisbane Lions Multiple Wins Patrick Cripps Australia And New Zealand Eric Hipwood Home Games John Longmire Footy Means Brad Scott Bye Rounds Australian Capital Territory
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