RBA’s next move will push home loan payments to jump to record high

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Home loan payments will surge to the highest on record, as rising interest rates and high debt put pressure on household budgets.

Home loan payments will jump to the highest on record, as rising interest rates and high debt put pressure on household budgets.to cause consumers to cut spending and to help cool inflation next year.Reserve Bank of Australia data show interest and principal payments as a share of household disposable income are already around the previous high recorded in 2010.

Financial markets are pricing in a peak cash rate of about 3.75 per cent by mid-2023, according to Australian Securities Exchange cash rate futures.A variable rate borrower with a $500,000 mortgage will be paying an estimated $760 a month extra since the RBA’s seven straight interest rate increases, according to RateCity, and potentially more than $1000 extra if future anticipated rate increases occur.

Although the RBA cash rate is well below the 4.75 per cent recorded in 2010, mortgage debt is much higher. However, an extra $270 billion in household savings during the pandemic has given borrowers, particularly higher income earners, financial buffers to drawn on.ANZ economist Adelaide Timbrell said the savings buffers and low 3.4 per cent unemployment rate would help most households ride out the financial squeeze.

“We’re expecting a slowdown in spending and continued reduction in house prices to be far sharper than changes in the [home loan] arrears rate because most people have jobs.” “The majority of owner-occupiers with variable rate loans have the ability to adjust to a period of higher interest rates and inflation, in part due to their substantial savings buffers.”

Source: Loan Digest (loandigest.net)

 

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