NSW expects Covid hospitalisations to peak next week. These key charts will show if that’s happening

Jegasothy said the graph indicated a “deceleration” of growth in Covid cases in hospital, while adding the caveat that there were a lot of unknowns with the spread of the virus, testing and other aspects which add a degree of uncertainty.

“It seems that over the past 10 days, we’ve seen a fairly consistent decline in the metric of percentage change,” he said.“If we were seeing an exponential growth in cases, the growth rate should increase. But since that growth rate is decreasing, it suggests that we’re approaching a plateau.” All of the above analysis focuses on hospitalisation numbers, rather than case numbers, which have had significant issues with testing delays, changing criteria, and people’s inability to find a rapid antigen test all contributing., said “it is unclear whether changes to testing rules have been factored into the modelling”.

“However, it’s understood, even if the detection rate changes significantly, it doesn’t affect any projection of when the peak will be reached that much,” Esterman wrote. “Modelling is therefore still likely to be reasonably accurate despite the changes to Covid testing. This is good news for other states and territories that rely on modelling results for planning.”

Perrottet expects to go to heaven.

What about the peak in Deaths. Small business failers, mental health issues, long covid oh and my fave right-wing stat suicides caused from LetItRip

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