Jobs growth may be slowing, but is it enough to change the RBA's mind?

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Every month for several years strong jobs data has kept the RBA on the sidelines. With conditions looking softer, a weak set of numbers this week may shift the balance towards rate cuts this year.

The big employment sectors, retail and construction, are falling into contractionary territory.

"Both job loss concerns and rising risk aversion raise the risk of a further move by households to rein in spending and increase savings, all of which would be consistent with our expectation of a significant 'wealth effect' drag on demand," Mr Hassan observed. The five straight days of falls were superseded by four-out-of-five positive sessions on Wall Street last week.

However, the slide did come after both the global Brent crude benchmark and US oil hit 2019 highs earlier in the week.

 

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Australia needs a pragmatist like Trump to increase job numbers and push the unemployment rate below 5%. Regardless of how Trump is viewed, he is proactive in job creation for the country he loves.

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