Put simply, the first major outbreak was almost entirely the fault of the Victorian government. The current one almost entirely isn’t. Suddenly our sample size of two isn’t even that. It’s two quite separate samples, each made up of a single event.
Indeed, the current outbreak is unique in our country’s experience so far. Its origin is a man who contracted the virus in quarantine, but tested negative all the way through. Having been cleared, he then moved about the community for six days while he was infectious, before being detected when his symptoms led him to get tested. That is a truly extraordinary situation that has nothing specifically to do with Victoria.
Then it took two weeks for a second positive case to show up. That means there’s a mystery link somewhere, but this isn’t particular to Victoria, either: NSW never found the mystery source of its northern beaches outbreak. What made Victoria different was that when more cases emerged, they came with a list of the worst kind of exposure sites, including bars and clubs. That’s what made the lockdown unavoidable, and made a localised lockdown of the kind we saw in the northern beaches less viable.
Similarly, there is no good explanation for why this “keeps happening” in Melbourne, because something that has happened twice in completely incomparable ways isn’t something that “keeps happening” to begin with.The truth is we understand what caused each outbreak very well, and they don’t permit a unified explanation. To insist on one is to chase a mirage. That might be understandable, but unfortunately this lazy Melbourne exceptionalism isn’t benign.
“Even then, if people choose to get tested, they don’t have to isolate while they await their results if they don’t have symptoms.” Wrong! In NSW, I was told that I was legally obliged to self isolate until I get a negative result. COVID19Vic
Nothing about the cover ups, lack of accountability, not providing the reasons for lock downs and locking longer and harder with less cases than other states. Tell the whole story Waleed
I suspect the evangelical churches. When their mullah US Secretary of State Mike Pompeo threatened the Victorian government the writing was on the wall for our retarded Southern cousins
He would wouldn’t he?
I love it when Waleed Aly tells the people they are thinking about things completely the wrong way. Like those annoying 'You're doing it all wrong' articles which were so popular in 2017.
Finally a decent piece about Melbourne.
Derrrr, don't ask questions, derrrr - waleed aly
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