Increasing real interest rates, Victorian lockdown make RBA decision tougher

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Increasing real interest rates and Victoria's stage four lockdown will force the Reserve Bank to re-examine policy settings and its forecasts for the national economy amid growing evidence the jobs market has deteriorated in the past fortnight.

Melbourne house values dropped by 1.4 per cent in July to be down by 3.8 per cent over the past quarter. Melbourne's housing market has taken the biggest hit of any capital city in the country over the past three months.Elsewhere, house values fell by 0.3 per cent in Brisbane, 0.6 per cent in Perth, 0.4 per cent in Hobart and 0.2 per cent in Darwin.

But with much support starting to fall from October and mortgage repayment holidays likely to expire by March, the deteriorating market could force more properties to sale. "Similarly, the recent concerns of a second wave of the virus and the potential for renewed border closures and stricter social-distancing polices are likely to further push consumer sentiment down. This is likely to weigh on both home buying and selling activity more broadly."

 

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How? We cannot prop up the economy any further by lowering interest rates below zero. It’s time for govt to spend big on non housing infrastructure to soak up unemployment. This will restore confidence. Fast train?

Housing prices 'tumbled' did they? Take a look at a long term price trend to see the absurdity of your description of housing prices.

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