How to read the Melbourne Cup form, and the five best bets for Cup Day

Finding the Melbourne Cup winner either requires a studious analysis of the form – or just plain luck.

You would be amazed the number of people who backed 2015 winner Prince Of Penzance at 100-1 simply because Michelle Payne was the only female rider in the race.Backing a woman to win this Cup day isn’t as simple a choice – England’s queen of racing Holly Doyle will ride Future History, Rachael King is down from Sydney and Victoria’s own Jamie Kah will ride More Felons.At first glance you will notice three group 1 hurdle wins.

Topweight and defending champion Gold Trip will be out to join the select group of five horses to win multiple Cups – Archer , Peter Pan 1932-34), Rain Lover , Think Big and Makybe Diva .History is against him, though. The last Cup winner to carry 58.5kg was Think Big in 1975. But weights are compressed these days with the race more a quality handicap favouring horses higher up in the weights.

Without A Fight fits the mould of the typical present day Cup runner, and winner, a European stayer bought to race here by local owners for local trainers having deduced that our home-bred stayers as a rule are inferior.

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