Mr O'Shannessy said until he left Newspoll in 2015, the company had used probability sampling — where a random sample of telephone numbers are called across the country to reflect the population.ABC election analyst Antony Green agreed the sampling used to be much more reliable.
"There has been a drop off in response rates and there has also been a drop off in the quality of the data."One man who did predict a Scott Morrison stay said traditional polling was past its used by date. "I am able to assess the opinions of people through their social media … other polling has a much smaller sample.Search all electorates, find out which seats are changing, and keep up-to-date on the latest vote count.
Mr O'Shannessy said news polls could be more accurate if the industry was able to access the Government's Integrated Public Number Database — which contains all listed and unlisted numbers across the country and is used by emergency services and law enforcement.
Channel 9s first election coverage Labor will win 52_48! Exit poll. What the hell is that? Whatever it was it was bloody wrong!!!
It is an attempt to push momentum behind the left, but has the opposite effect, keeps playing out the same way over and over. People tend towards the underdog, and the favourite gets complacent and arrogant.
Remove QLD. Polls are right ... auspol2019 AusVotes2019
Fabulous that LiberalAus has been tearing itself apart for the past few years based on, we now find, poor sampling
😂🤣🤣🤣🤣
Lmfao
Here we go the labor supporters acting like dems, blaming everyone else. You lost the lection against a rabble, what does it say about labor. Primary vote horrific. Please move on. I don't want a Hillary style of whinging to happen here
They didn’t get it wrong, they just lied in order to swing the election. This is a disgrace and should be investigated for corruption
Not just the polls, the bookies as well!
Putin?
Because the polls only asked leftist opinions
Postal vote rorting anyone?🤔
Tell the idiot backbenchers who panic every time a negative poll comes out.
Don’t be daft ! No info ‘fed ‘ to us is true LOL . It’s astonishing how many believe they are important to the ruling govn ! That the govn intention is to keep us well informed 😂😂😂😂 oh dear ‘
Come you weak journalists ask Scotty dog some hard questions or get out of the game and move on.
The leftist media believed their own bulls hit!
Maybe climate change wasnt the number one issue on voters minds after all, despite you ramming down our throats.
Polls people must be getting brown paper bags full of cash or they are just dumb dickwits. ABC must get a political clean out.........they could not pick their nose.
Perhaps this will mean the government will now cease obsessing over polling numbers and actually govern. Im shook. The other thing is that Morrison, Frydenberg, Dutton and co, from here on, can no longer pivot their answers to ‘when Labor was in government’
Because ur so far up ur own bubble a$$, that’s how!
Who the hell cared what the polls said? Did the polls affect the way anyone voted? I heard di natali said today that we need something else. What the hell for and replace them with what? Claiming that somehow pre election polls affected the result is absurd
Maybe the polls got the result they wanted!
People lie to pollsters. There, no need to read the article.
It's not that the polls were wrong, it's people not believing the fake narratives pushed by the left leaning media. Nobody believes you, you have zero credibility.
I was sick of those surveys. Last few I just pressed '1' to everything. I think that made me an 18yr old unemployed Labor voter. auspol
Fake news outlets and peddlers of propaganda such as the ABC push scewed polls as a cheap tactic in an attempt to sway the voter, you failed miserably and looked ridiculous doing so. Breakup the ABC ScottMorrisonMP AusLiberalParty
It wasn't necessary to have a definitive technical reason to eschew the 'polls'. I may have missed it, but apart from 'we're not taking this for granted', I never heard a single Labor hard head remind people of politics 101 - there's only one poll that counts.
More lol
Quiet Australians have spoken haha
You flounders didn't see this because you only listen to one point of view. I saw this long before the election. Enjoy the funding loss
So, let me get this right. Multiple polling companies made errors in collating data for three years, because phone technology and usage has changed. Do these idiots realise that mobile phones have been used since the 1990s?
How ABC got it so wrong not questioning LNP government lies?
Because they were contacting old inner city people in Sydney and Melbourne on their landlines.
A electorate bubble of gold shoes and Prada handbags. They have everything they need. They can afford crazy climate policies. They are appeasing their wealth guilt with these policies. But they have no idea how everyone else lives.
Can't wait for the ABC & 4Corners to blame 'Russia' ,,,,, again.
Those daily opinion polls the media keeps promoting as news are not an indication and a waste of $Millions. Remember this for next time.
Don’t preach to me about tax cuts, business tax offsets, franking credits, when the national debt has doubled and newstart is a disgrace.
Manipulation by government. ..they are criminals
Blaming the polls won't make up for the ABC's complete failure to see this result coming. Day in and day out you packed your broadcasts with pundits who know nothing but the dominant leftist opinion. You have no credibility to talk about politics anymore.
iandaw2
Keep putting out shit articles no doubt the ABC will be entirely defunded soon anyway
Not wrong. They deliberately misled.
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