How did the polls get it so wrong?

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An election night panel has slammed the polls that predicted — for two entire years — a Labor victory. How did they get it so wrong? AusVotes2019 auspol

Newspoll, which is administered by Galaxy Research, is one of a number of polling companies relied on in Australia. Others include Roy Morgan, Nielsen , Ipsos and Essential Poll.

Peter Lewis from Essential Research said part of the problem was with the way polls were carried out — with robo-calls to fixed phone lines.“We treat polls with more import than they may deserve given the margin of error,” he said. “Is it that the polls were wrong or is it the way we read polls that is flawed? We obviously need to go back to model and see how it held up.”

 

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They did not listen to what the people were saying, just their select favourites who agreed with each other and any who disagreed where shouted down and called racist/bigot/white privileged/white supremest etc etc

I always look at the polls and say “where did they get those figures from? I have never been asked!” loadofshit

The media is biased, leftists. But the people who wake up at 5 am, struggle to pay the taxes and to give their kids a good education they are conservatives, they want a good future for their descendants. Keep listening to Waleed and one day you will be eating grass “hee-haw”

'How did they get it so wrong' - maybe the ABC are just incompetent and useless.

I did and thanks to your usual in-house 'EXPERTS' Sam Clench, Gavin Fernando, Emma Renyolds, Rohan Smith I won double big on SportsBet, thanks again activists .... much love

Election night panel = ABC and they were choking on their weeties - there is a GOD.

The media beat up is just that, a media beat up.

Sheer arrogance.

They got the prediction so wrong because they refuse to listen to the people. They only listened to what they wanted to hear.. not what was actually being voiced. It became their undoing.

Just maybe, people tell fibs or go for the opposition when not voting.

No Tanyas or Bowens or anyone whose fingerprints were on this disaster. We suggest Christina Keneally and Jim Chalmers. Vote in any old hacks from this farce and Labor can be assured of us NEVER voting Labor again.

Murdoch played the long game. He played the Australian public like a fiddle.

How did they get it so wrong? I guess the media made unsubstantiated stories all along without really stating the facts. Then amped up the fairy stories

Here is the answer:

Cos its not a real job or industry. Its like alot od media nowadays.....full of shit

Media nohopers.

Polls never polled Shorten over any Liberal leader as preferred PM in 6 years. That’s what you need to look at. The Labor party polled over Libs every time. What does that tell you People didn’t like Shorten no matter what. They didn’t want him to be PM. It was close though.

All the people working were too busy to take a survey.. Auspol AusVotes2019

Labor and the Franking credits

There was a constant scare campaign by the LNP, and people fell for it.

Having seen a similar dynamic here in the US, I can’t help but laugh out loud. Polling, given fewer landlines, more cell phones and skyrocketing refusal rates, is in crisis. It seems that, for the most part, the only people taking to pollsters are leftists.

Because you are fake news who has so much bias you can't even realise it

Have y’all learnt nothing in 3 years about polling & commentators 🤷🏻‍♀️ ... The way people vote has changed & the polling that should have been listened to more closely was the preferred PM.

You mean, how did WE get it so wrong?

Can News be trusted in the future ?

In a nutshell.

Didn’t factor in preferences and only polled the inner city hippies like they always do

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