House price collapse: What’s really going on and what happens next?

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This graph reveals what’s really happening in Australia’s slumping property markets — and what’s going to happen next.

But one of Australia’s most respected economists has put the apparent market chaos into clear perspective.

“So far, Melbourne is down about 10 per cent and Sydney is down about 14 per cent,” Dr Oliver said. “So, to put it into perspective, prices are really just back at 2015 levels and on track to go back to 2014 levels.And Dr Oliver said the graph also shows his forecast for the next few years — including when the market recovery will begin.and Melbourne, prices began to cool substantially from the middle of 2017 onwards.

As the chart above shows, Dr Oliver said the other capital cities — as a cumulative average — had been “pretty boring in the grand scheme of things”.“Prices have come down quite dramatically in Perth and Darwin, gone up in Hobart, and not really done a lot in Adelaide, Brisbane and Canberra. “People were losing their jobs and were unable to service their loans en masse, put their properties on the market and pushed prices down and kept the spiral going.

 

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