NSW has begun the process of opening up in earnest. Former premier Gladys Berejiklian warned the state could expect cases to “go through the roof” once it reached this stage. But NSW may well avoid a calamitous rise in infections, with quite a few things working in its favour already.
NSW’s staged opening is also occurring with vaccination levels in the eligible population over 16 years of age closer to 75 per cent then the scheduled 70 per cent and may even reach close to 80 per cent by the weekend when most will really start to enjoy the extra freedoms. In addition, more than 90 per cent of this group has at least one dose, so more than half those not yet fully vaccinated do at least have one dose, reducing their risk of hospitalisation by as much as two thirds.
Importantly, the population level protection from vaccine coverage will be at its peak right now with more than 50 per cent of recipients having completed their second dose within the last six weeks. The timing of the opening up leverages this period of maximum risk reduction for both infection and forward transmission among those who are fully vaccinated.
The Burnet modelling always was highly suspect
Of course it won’t, not with barely 1/10 of the number of daily tests compared to Vic. “No test, no new cases”, Trump got that right seems.
Well we do hope so.
Waves over. Seasonal change. Wait till March.
What is this including NSW infants & children? Aust is 31/38 globally. Canada has dbl vaxxed at 86% for over 12 yo & ready for vax of 5-11 yo end of Oct. Where is this data from re: NSW? In Canada children & unvaxxed are falling ill… vax is 1 layer only to solution atm.
Another 2 weeks and we will know.
Also coming into summer should mean vitamin D levels will be at their highest
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