Fed tightening plans pressure RBA to raise rates

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Pressure on the RBA to raise rates has intensified after the US Federal Reserve warned a supersized increase to its benchmark rate in May was highly likely.

The Reserve Bank is under pressure to raise interest rates at a faster pace after the Federal Reserve lifted its hawkish rhetoric, preparing financial markets for a supersized rate increase in May.

For some economists, bond markets are too aggressive: “We still think June is too early. The RBA’s rhetoric about being patient has not changed despite the Fed and other central banks,” said Westpac rates strategist Jessica Ren. Westpac forecasts the RBA to raise rates in August, similarly to NAB. CBA expects June while ANZ is waiting for the September meeting.The Fed also reiterated its willingness to “increase by more than a quarter of a percentage point each time, if needed”.

“There is no progress, or evidence of progress, in the Russia-Ukraine negotiations. Uncertainty remains exceptionally high and that is something that Fed central bank speakers have been keen to acknowledge while recognising rising inflationary risks,” said Brian Martin, senior economist at ANZ.

 

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