“My lifetime has taught me to embrace freedom and democracy . . . to respect everyone,” Biden said. “Some other people my age,” he added, in a thinly veiled reference to the former president only four years his junior, “see a different story — an American story of resentment, revenge, and retribution”.
Some Democrats worry that Biden is actually behind: according to the Realclearpolitics.com polling average, he trails Trump by 1.8 percentage points in a head-to-head match up nationally, while his approval rating is languishing below 40 per cent. Trump also has near unanimous support among Republicans on Capitol Hill — and is placing his allies in charge of the Republican National Committee, allowing him to keep his grip on the party apparatus without much dissent.
The well-funded political scion Robert F Kennedy jnr, the Green party’s Jill Stein, and progressive activist Cornel West are still in the mix, with the potential to attract protest votes. No Labels, a prominent political organisation, has also threatened to push a so-called “unity ticket” with a Republican presidential nominee and a Democratic running mate.
Exit polls showing that a significant chunk of Haley voters would not back Trump in a general election have boosted the Biden campaign’s belief that the former president remains a toxic candidate with a hard ceiling of support. Despite the success of his economic policies in creating a strong labour market recovery, the pain of high inflation is giving him low marks with the US public on the handling of the economy — and the recent rebound in consumer sentiment has not translated into credit for the White House.
Abdullah Hammoud, the mayor of the Michigan city of Dearborn, which has a heavy concentration of Palestinian-Americans, says he is not sure what, if anything, could make those voters revert to Biden in time for this election. “Some are looking for a significant shift on Gaza, some are looking for a permanent lasting ceasefire, some are looking for a restriction of military aid,” Hammoud says. “There’s a large breadth of opinion on what it would take . . . they are looking for change today.
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