Australia’s inflation rises to 4%, stoking concern interest rates could increase again

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The consumer price index increased to its highest level in 2024, indicating the Reserve Bank is unlikely to cut interest rates soon

Australia’s monthly inflation rate increased to its highest level in 2024 in the latest indication that the Reserve Bank won’t be cutting interest rates soon and might yet hike again.

Sign up for Guardian Australia’s free morning and afternoon email newsletters for your daily news roundupFood presented a mixed price picture. Overall prices were up 3.3% from May 2023, a slowdown from April’s 3.8% pace. Fruit and vegetable prices, though, climbed 4.4% compared with May 2023, continuing a recent rebound after prices posted a 1.2% drop in March.

The RBA has said it won’t hesitate to raise its key interest rate – for a 14th time in this cycle – if it loses confidence that inflation can fall back within its 2%-3% target by the end of next year.. It is banking on energy rebates and other measures to “mechanically” lower the CPI even as the stage-three cuts inject more than $20bn into the economy this coming financial year.

“We’ve now had four months in a row of accelerating core inflation. This will no doubt be of concern to the independent Reserve Bank.” “It’s worrying news for borrowers with an increase of 0.25 adding $100 to the monthly repayment on a $600,000 loan over 30 years,” he said. “Even without a rate increase, a three-month extension before a rate cut adds $288 in extra repayments to the same loan.”

Source: Loan Digest (loandigest.net)

 

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