2020, Decade, New Year, Weather, Climate, Climate Change, Forecasts

2020, Decade

20 Experts Predict The Most Significant Weather And Climate Advances Of The Next Decade

20 experts predict the most significant weather and climate advances of the next decade

1/3/2020 5:21:00 PM

20 experts predict the most significant weather and climate advances of the next decade

20 experts weigh in on the next great advances in weather and climate in the next decade.

ANTALYA, TURKEY - NOVEMBER 30: A waterspout forms over the Mediterranean Sea close to Alanya... [+]district of Antalya province in Turkey on November 30, 2019. (Photo by Orhan Cicek/Anadolu Agency via Getty Images)Anadolu Agency via Getty ImagesAdvances in Prediction

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Richard “Heatwave” Berlerevokes images of something common to all of us, the smartphone camera:Like a camera with more megapixels, weather observations/forecast models will be taken/run at a higher resolution, be it from more satellite platforms, even from crowd sourcing citizen weather stations and vehicles at the surface. This, run on ever faster computers will lead to greater resolution of small detail in the first 12 hours of a forecast, and give us a longer horizon on the large scale weather features. I hope to see some skill (now seen 7 days out) extend to 10-12 days out by decade’s end.

Richard “Heatwave” Berler, CBM#18 Chief Meteorologist KGNS TV, Laredo, TexasSubseasonal-to-seasonal forecasting is increasingly critical for planning and operations related to industry, public safety, and agriculture.is a meteorological trainer at the National Weather Service and the developer of the Winter Misery Index

:One thing that jumps to mind would be leaps in the subseasonal-to-seasonal forecasting of high-impact weather events, crossing those blurry lines between weather and climate. I could foresee advances in longer-range predictions of severe thunderstorms and tornadoes, hurricanes, floods, heat waves, cold snaps, untimely freezes, flash droughts - the range of extremes that can impact life, property, and ecosystems. We are on the path already with at least a few of those hazards, but we need - and, I believe, will achieve - greater understanding and communication of the links between global climate patterns and potential for hazardous/high-impact weather. 

Dr. Barb Mayes Bousted, Meteorological Trainer with the National Weather ServiceAshton Robinson Cookbelieves important advances in tornado prediction are on the near horizon. Referencing work by Gensini and others, he told me:As far as tornado prediction goes I think the advancement of the high-resolution ensembles are the big advancement for severe local storms now but maybe only for the 2-4 year timeframe. For predicting tornadoes in the long range, coarser grid climate prediction models also seem to have demonstrated potential but those models will also need improving as well. AI will be the biggest player in improving forecast capabilities.

Dr. Ashton Robinson Cook, Meteorologist, Founder/CEO of WeatherDeepA car tries to srive down a flooded road near Harbridge, 2.5 miles north of Ringwood in Hampshire,... [+]after the river Avon burst its banks. (Photo by Steve Parsons/PA Images via Getty Images)

PA Images via Getty ImagesCommunication and Societal RiskGene Normanis now a meteorological consultant and freelance broadcaster with CNN. He had an array of thoughts on the next decade:Weather advances in the next decade: 1) more accurate and targeted weather alerts that incent safety action to cut down on the"we didn't know it would be this bad" reaction after a major weather event. 2) improved accuracy of forecasts due to greater computing abilities 3) better and more consistent communication (by the media) of the linkages between extreme weather events and climate change to eliminate skepticism and erroneous reporting. This likely also prompts intentional political action

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Gene Norman, freelance meteorologist with CNN and veteran of the broadcast meteorology industryTowards a Weather Ready NationNOAASusan Jaskowas a candidate for President of the National Weather Association (NWA) in 2019 and a leading voice at the intersection of weather and communication. Her thoughts:

We seem to be at the edge of a transition from an idea about humans dominating nature and controlling the natural world to the notion that human life is dependent on a holistic understanding of the natural world. I think the weather and climate enterprise will make breakthroughs in ways to engage communities in using science to inform crucial decision-making and transform us into an environmentally resilient and wise nation. Of course, it will take the expertise of all of us - physical and social scientists, policy and resource experts, economists and artists, teachers and families- to make this transition successful.

Dr. Susan Jasko, Senior Research Scientist, University of AlabamaKim Klockowhas a similar view. She is a research scientist and Societal Applications Coordinator with the Cooperative Institute for Mesoscale Meteorological Studies (CIMMS) at the University of Oklahoma and the National Severe Storms Laboratory (NSSL):

I think the next big advance will be more locally-focused weather communication & resilience activities. That’s the next big frontier for the social science side of our enterprise - what works in one community may be different from what works in another, and reaching people where they are will provide the best service. I see this as an integral part of the AMS Centennial Initiative focused on local action networks. All disasters are local, and so are the solutions to many of our most pressing weather and climate change-related problems!

Read more: Forbes »

20 Experts Predict The Most Significant Weather And Climate Advances Of The Next Decade20 experts weigh in on the next great advances in weather and climate in the next decade. 'Leaps in the subseasonal-to-seasonal forecasting of high-impact weather events to cross blurry lines between weather and climate. This is increasingly critical for planning and operations related to industry, public safety, and agriculture.' Where the end of the world climate change countdown clock will be built remains in flux. Paris and Beijing remain top contenders. How much time will be placed on the clock is expected to be debated about for years. tt:nytimes washingtonpost DailyCaller FreeBeacon

Our 20 most anticipated TV shows of 2020Awkwafina. Al Pacino. Nurse Ratched. Something called 'Murder House Flip.' The Times TV team selects the shows they're most excited for this year. Really? Do people still watch TV? The WHO has declared this the 'Year of the Nurse and Midwife' and TV audiences will be again shown a lousy interpretation of a nurse. Glad I have no TV. You forgot You S3 that’s what we’re all really looking forward to the most.

20 extremely simple New Year's resolutions that you can easily achieveSet the bar lower. It'll still feel good. I just set the one each year. Do what makes you happy. Very achievable. *ignore

At least 20 llamas missing from California exotic animal farm after burglaryThe farm has been a recent target of animal rights activists who claim llamas, emus, ostriches and other animals there have been mistreated and not fed, local media reported. 'Discovered missing' is an oxymoron. What!? People suck.

20 extremely simple New Year's resolutions that you can easily achieveSet the bar lower. It'll still feel good.

20 No. 20 Hot 100 Hits for 2020: 'December,' 'Our Lips Are Sealed,' 'Slow Ride,' 'Little Talks' & MoreCelebrating the biggest songs that peaked at No. 20. How are they big songs if they didn’t hit the top ten? gthot20 Honorable mention to “Oh Father” by Madonna. It peaked at 20 at the end of 89 and it sadly broke her streak for most consecutive top 10 singles. great