LONDON - Each person infected with coronavirus is passing the disease on to between two and three other people on average at current transmission rates, according to two separate scientific analyses of the epidemic.
"It is unclear at the current time whether this outbreak can be contained within China," said Neil Ferguson, an infectious disease specialist at Imperial College London who co-led one of the studies. "Should the epidemic continue unabated in Wuhan, we predict will be substantially larger by Feb 4," the scientists wrote.
Only weak strains of virus spread fast. Yes, it is counter-intuitive Wuhan China coronavirus
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