KYIV – For much of the winter, the war in Ukraine settled into a slow-moving but exceedingly violent fight along a jagged 965km-long front line in the south-east. Now, both Ukraine and Russia are poised to go on the offensive.Using tens of thousands of new conscripts in the hope of overwhelming Ukraine, its forces are attacking heavily fortified positions across bomb-scarred fields and through scorched forests in the east.
Russia is massing tens of thousands of soldiers, including conscripts from a mass mobilisation last fall, just outside the range of American-made precision missiles. The formations suggest they could be preparing to encircle Ukrainian forces arrayed across the Donetsk and Luhansk regions. Ukraine can afford to make tactical retreats, according to military analysts, as long as it does not risk suffering a total collapse of its lines in a way that would result in its troops being encircled.
Russia faces other time pressures. Western weaponry that can make the difference in battles, such as German-made Leopard tanks and American Bradley infantry fighting vehicles, have been promised but not yet arrived. Moscow is bringing in more soldiers to defend hastily erected defensive positions, but she said Ukraine has been able to limit its ability to bring in heavy equipment.
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