Why sentiment in industrial metals has been crumbling

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LONDON : Industrial metal prices have just seen their biggest quarter of falls in many years, with the market reflecting exposure to China's COVID lockdowns, inflation, rising interest rates and stalled growth.The speed and magnitude of the fall was unexpected and partly reflects the sale of metal such as

LONDON : Industrial metal prices have just seen their biggest quarter of falls in many years, with the market reflecting exposure to China's COVID lockdowns, inflation, rising interest rates and stalled growth.

Copper dropped 20 per cent in the second quarter, the largest quarterly loss since 2011, when the bubble created by massive Chinese stimulus burst. With the exception of lead, all the other five metals hit record highs in March as markets priced in expectations of deficits due to robust demand and transport bottlenecks in producing regions.Copper is vital for conducting electricity and is used in electronics, white goods, autos and buildings, zinc is used to galvanise steel and lead is a component of batteries used in internal combustion engine cars.

Zinc consumption is forecast to rise at a sedate 1 per cent-2 per cent this year from 6 per cent-7 per cent in 2021 and nickel demand is seen expanding around 5 per cent this year from around 15 per cent last year.Copper supplies are seen climbing 3 per cent-5 per cent on production ramp ups at mines in Latin America, Africa and elsewhere, while aluminium supplies are forecast to rise 3.5 per cent with much of that rise in China.

 

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