SEOUL/TOKYO - North Korea is unlikely to be deterred from its quest to place cargoes in space, analysts said, even though a malfunction sent a new launch vehicle and the country's first spy satellite crashing into the ocean on Wednesday .
"Even if this satellite launch is a failure, General Secretary Kim Jong Un himself has made clear that this satellite is the first of many," he said. "This won’t be the end of those efforts."Since 1998, North Korea has launched five satellites, two of which appeared to have made it into orbit, including in its last attempt in 2016.
"North Korea has traditionally lacked robust strategic situational awareness capabilities, which contribute to its chronic sense of insecurity," said Ankit Panda of the U.S.-based Carnegie Endowment for International Peace. "North Korea cannot maintain the credibility of its capabilities against Japan, the U.S., and South Korea unless it successfully launches a satellite, so it can’t ignore its scientists,” he said, adding that those circumstances could mean North Korea won’t rush into another launch.
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