Who will be the judge of countries' climate plans?

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The question is so sensitive that, for now, the answer is: the countries themselves.

While nations have agreed to a global target aimed at avoiding the most catastrophic impacts of climate change, fossil fuel and other greenhouse gas emissions continue to rise when they should be falling."There are no 'police' to check; this is a weakness of the process," climatologist Corinne Le Quere told AFP.

A separate annual analysis by the UN Environment Programme , which looks at the gap between climate commitments and actual reductions in greenhouse gas emissions, drills down into slightly more detail. Hare said CAT, which his organisation partners with, and other assessments will spark "a lot of discussion and disagreement" in 2022 as the deadline looms.

Even the most ambitious countries will have to "sharpen their arguments" to convince people that their numbers add up, said Lola Vallejo, from the IDDRI think tank."Countries that are not in line with the Paris agreement will feel they are in the hot seat. Peer pressure works," said one Western diplomat.Olhoff said richer nations will likely face questions over "the historical emissions burden and of fairness and equity".

 

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