SINGAPORE - The goals of the United Nations Paris Climate Agreement now seem more within reach after recent climate pledges by major carbon polluting nations, according to a recent report.
Until recently, the combined emissions cutting pledges of all nations meant the world was on track to warm about 3 deg C above pre-industrial levels by the end of the century. In UN language, these pledges are called Nationally Determined Contributions . Nations are meant to submit new or updated pledges by the end of this year as part of the Paris Agreement's process of progressively increasing global ambition.
In a September address to the UN General Assembly, President Xi Jinping pledged that China's emissions would peak before 2030 and would be carbon neutral by 2060 - a dramatic shift for the world's top carbon polluter and coal consumer. The CAT analysis found that China's 2060 pledge, if achieved, would reduce the end of century warming estimate by 0.2 to 0.3 deg C. Another 0.1 deg C could be shaved off if the US is carbon neutral by 2050.
"But to retain any credibility, governments will need to bring their 2030 targets into line with their net zero goals by around 2050, and this is the main political challenge ahead in the next 12 months," he said, referring to the major UN climate meeting, called COP26, to be held in Glasgow at the end of next year.
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