SINGAPORE - The United States' foreign policy decisions, in the run-up to the US presidential elections on Nov 3 this year, might well leave the world in a bit of a mess and should President Donald Trump return to the White House, the world order could become 'dire' in coming years, veteran observers of US foreign policy said at a forum here.
Professor Michael Brown and Dr Bates Gill expressed these views at the RSIS Distinguished Public Dialogue on US Foreign Policy in a Time of Turmoil at Home and Abroad, held at NTU@One-north on Thursday . The dialogue was held at a time of growing interest in American foreign policy after a US airstrike outside Baghdad airport left Iranian general Qassem Soleimani dead and sparked off tensions in the Middle East. Teheran retaliated this week with strikes on Iraqi bases housing US troops, raising fresh fears of the horrors it could inflict next.
"I think Trump's fixation and obsession with winning the 2020 election is to impart to his self-image as a winner and because, if he loses the election, he probably faces criminal investigation on a wide variety of financial fraud and obstruction of justice charges," he said."The impact of US politics on foreign policy won't be pretty.. will be a bit of a mess," said Dr Gill.
If it does so, he said it will mean Iran is moving towards a high level of enrichment and speeding to build a nuclear weapon capability and if that happens, it will be a moment of crisis. "If he wins the elections in 2020, the prospects for world order over the next four or five years are dire. My view is that it will be a new world order, a worse world order... one can't really call it a world order.
Dr Bates Gill? Is this typo? Not Bill Gates?
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