NEW YORK - None of the plans for how the United States might safely emerge from the coronavirus lockdown involved thousands of Americans standing shoulder to shoulder in the streets of major cities or coughing uncontrollably when authorities used tear gas to disperse them. No one planned on protesters being herded into crowded prison buses or left in crowded cells.
And on Sunday , infectious disease experts on Twitter debated how to supply a reliable estimate of the impact of the protests on virus transmission - or whether trying to do so may wrongly be seen as discouraging participation in the growing racial justice movement. Dr Marc Lipsitch, an epidemiologist at Harvard, agreed that Dr Bedford's projections were in the ballpark, and said in an email that he had done"a service'' by making an approximate estimate with explicit assumptions.
Dr Bedford wrote that his estimates contained a lot of uncertainty. There is no official estimate for how many people are protesting on an average day, for instance. Still, he thought it was important, he said, to provide a framework grounded in epidemiologic principles to counter the offhand assumptions being made by political pundits.
"Racism and police violence are major threats to public health in this country, and protest is one of the only options available to people who have been systematically disenfranchised," said Dr Eleanor Murray, an epidemiologist at Boston University. "After attending a protest in Tulsa AND being well protective of myself, I have tested positive for Covid-19," Mr Amen Ogbongbemiga, a linebacker at Oklahoma State University, wrote on Twitter."Please, if you are going to protest, take care of yourself and stay safe."
"You're going to have half the country that has lost faith almost completely in the public health establishment," he said.
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