VIENNA - No one expected much progress from this past week's diplomatic marathon to defuse the security crisis that Russia has ignited in Eastern Europe byBut asabout how the next few months could unfold, they are increasingly wary of another set of options for President Vladimir Putin, steps that are more far-reaching than simply rolling his troops and armour over Ukraine's border.
"A hypothetical Russian invasion of Ukraine would not undermine the security of the United States," said Mr Dmitry Suslov, an analyst in Moscow who gave a closed-door presentation on the stand-off to Russian lawmakers last month."The overall logic of Russian actions is that it is the US and Nato that must pay a high price."
"Russia's response will be asymmetrical, fast and tough," Mr Putin said last April, referring to the kinds of unconventional military action that Russia could take if adversaries threatened"our fundamental security interests". In response, the Biden administration has issued warnings of financial and technological sanctions if the Kremlin should follow through with its threats, particularly in regard to Ukraine.US talks to energy firms over EU gas supply in case of Russia-Ukraine conflict: Sources
Of course, the most obvious scenario, given the scale of troop movements on the ground, is a Russian invasion of Ukraine - maybe not to take over the entire country, but to send troops into the breakaway regions around the cities of Donetsk and Luhansk, or to roll all the way to the Dnieper River. In Geneva, Russian diplomats insisted there were no plans to invade Ukraine. But there were hints of other steps.US does not believe Russia has decided to invade Ukraine but ready if it does: Sullivan
"From the beginning of the year, we will have in our arsenal a new sea-based missile, a hypersonic one," Mr Putin said, referring to a weapon that travels at more than five times the speed of sound and could likely evade existing missile defences.
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