'Rather unexpected': Analysts surprised at Tharman’s margin of victory in Singapore Presidential Election

The final result closely mirrored the sample count announced by the Elections Department late on Friday night.

“I think there were many people who were hopeful that Tharman would win, but winning by this huge margin ... I think it’s rather unexpected and it’s quite a surprise. A pleasant surprise for some,” he said. Assoc Prof Tan also noted that Singapore is undergoing a leadership change at a political level. Prime Minister Lee Hsien Loong has said he is preparing to hand over to the fourth-generation team, led by Deputy Prime Minister Lawrence Wong.

Mr Ng Kok Song has conceded defeat after a sample count of the Presidential Election showed that he received 16 per cent of the vote share on Sep 1, 2023. However, Mr Tan’s support from opposition party members had a “negative spillover effect” on Mr Ng’s campaign, said Dr Mustafa.“If the middle ground had shifted considerably to Tharman, he’s only left a segment of the middle ground voting for him, and that’s why you saw him having the percentage of vote that he has,” he added.

Voters may have been put off Mr Tan as there were “too oppositional forces going on his candidacy”, said Dr Tan, referring to the second-time presidential candidate’s support from opposition party members.

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