Even one of the few sceptics whose criticism has been tolerated so far, a pro-war ex-commander of pro-Russian troops in east Ukraine, sees no clear outcome.
But beyond the battlefield, Russia must pay for an unexpectedly broad and protracted war while suffering the most severe Western sanctions. Western firms and investors have run for the exit, making Russia court one-time rival China as an investor and buyer of its oil. “This war is the most consequential activity Putin has ever undertaken and, certainly for Russia, it is the most consequential gamble since the fall of the Soviet Union,” said Mr Samuel Charap, a Russia specialist at the RAND Corporation who has served in the State Department.
Mr Putin may be ultimately betting on time, said US Central Intelligence Agency director William Burns, a former ambassador to Moscow who has taken messages from President Joe Biden to Russia.
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