SINGAPORE - Analysts from OCBC are expecting the Monetary Authority of Singapore to ease its monetary policy stance come its review next month.
OCBC's forecast is in line with that of DBS analysts, who similarly expect the MAS to slightly decrease the annual appreciation pace of the S$NEER to 0.5 per cent at its policy review in mid-October. They also noted that the Singapore dollar outperformed its Asian counterparts amid renminbi-led weakness as the Sino-US trade tensions escalated in August, keeping the S$NEER buoyed. Subsequently, the alleviation of tensions from September onwards saw the SGD recover against the US dollar and the yen, providing further support for the S$NEER.
Since the April monetary policy statement, domestic growth or inflation outcomes have softened steadily, underlying the"slightly below potential" prognosis, the report highlighted. Arguably, the ongoing Sino-US rapprochement is a slight bright spot for the global economy, but without a concrete truce to at least nominally lock down progress on this front, the situation may be too fragile to generate sustained optimism, according to the OCBC analysts.
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