NEW YORK - If a third-party presidential candidate were going to have a spoiler effect anywhere in 2020, it would seem to be in Michigan, after Rep. Justin Amash, a five-term congressman from Grand Rapids, said he was preparing a bid for the Libertarian nomination in the November election.
Amash, who was the sole Republican to support impeachment before leaving the party last year to become an independent, said in an interview that he was not worried about easing the president's path to a second term. But McNeilly, who lives in Amash's House district in Western Michigan, said the deciding factor this year would be how large a share of its base each party is able to turn out - and that formulation favours Biden, a more popular candidate with Democrats than Clinton was when she lost the state by just 0.3 percentage points.
Although partisans of both parties are highly motivated to vote in 2020, there are simply more Democrats than Republicans in Michigan, giving Biden a decided edge.
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