With falling rates of COVID-19 infection in India and surveys suggesting nearly 300 million people may already have antibodies, some experts believe the worst of the disease has passed, despite a recent uptick in two hard-hit states. 'There is a human barricade for the virus,' said Bhramar Mukherjee, an epidemiologist at the University of Michigan, who with a team of researchers, has been modeling the trajectory of the outbreak in India. 'By the end of March, we should see a very slow, steady decline (in cases),' she added.
FILE PHOTO: Second dose of COVID-19 vaccination in AhmedabadBENGALURU/MUMBAI - With falling rates of COVID-19 infection in India and surveys suggesting nearly 300 million people may already have antibodies, some experts believe the worst of the disease has passed, despite a recent uptick in two hard-hit states.
Total deaths so far in India are just under 156,000, the world's fourth highest number of fatalities. A recent government serological survey indicated 21.5% of Indians were likely infected by COVID-19, giving them a degree of immunity, while antibody tests on more than 700,000 people by a diagnostic company showed that 55% of Indians may have already been infected.
Even those predicting further declines in cases, like Mukherjee, warn that India will need to continue COVID-19 containment measures and surveillance of new variants, besides aggressively vaccinating its people.More socializing, coupled with a recent restart of local trains in the financial hub of Mumbai, could be causing the spike in Maharashtra, say experts, while a restart of schools in Kerala is being blamed for the surge there.
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