Global fertility rate to keep plummeting, major study warns

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PARIS: The population of almost every country will be shrinking by the end of the century, a major study said on Wednesday (Mar 20), warning that baby booms in developing nations and busts in rich ones will drive massive social change.

A man and woman hold babies in an alley in Beijing on Aug 1, 2017. The fertility rate in half of all nations is already too low to maintain their population size, a new study says on Mar 20, 2024. PARIS: The population of almost every country will be shrinking by the end of the century, a major study said on Wednesday , warning that baby booms in developing nations and busts in rich ones will drive massive social change.

At the end of the century, that will be true for 97 per cent – or 198 out of 204 countries and territories, the researchers projected. "The world will be simultaneously tackling a 'baby boom' in some countries and a 'baby bust' in others," senior study author Stein Emil Vollset of the IHME said in a statement.IHME researcher Natalia Bhattacharjee said the"implications are immense".

Communication about the figures"should not be sensationalised, but nuanced, balancing between gloom and optimism," the WHO experts wrote in The Lancet.

 

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