Dam collapse in China could point to a 'black swan' disaster

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The dam at a small reservoir in China's Guangxi region gave way last month after days of heavy rain in a collapse that could be a harbinger of ...

An aerial view shows the flooded Yangshuo town by the overflowing Li River, against the backdrop of the karst landscape in Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous Region, China June 7, 2020. Chen Yan via REUTERSYANGSHUO, China: The dam at a small reservoir in China's Guangxi region gave way last month after days of heavy rain in a collapse that could be a harbinger of sterner tests for many of the country's 94,000 aging dams as the weather gets more extreme.

That raises the prospect of disaster in river valleys and flood plains that are much more densely populated than they were when the dams were built. It was unclear if record-breaking rains were to blame for the Shazixi collapse or if the dam's emergency spillway had been blocked by silt or if it was a design problem.

"But a dam should be able to withstand extreme events even if they become regular, and when the flood is over, it should be exactly of the same quality as before the event, if the dam was properly designed and built," Shankman said. Ye Jianchun, deputy minister of the Ministry of Water Resources, told a recent news conference he was confident flood-control projects on major rivers were capable of handling the largest floods seen since the founding of the People's Republic of China.

 

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