Commentary: Michael Bloomberg for US President? Only possible in a year like 2020

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If Michael Bloomberg does get in the race under this scenario, buckle up for what undoubtedly will be a wild ride, says Steven Okun.

Advertisement“I believe I would defeat Donald Trump in a general election,” Bloomberg wrote. “But I am clear-eyed about the difficulty of winning the Democratic nomination in such a crowded field."Democratic presidential hopefuls, including former vice-president Joe Biden and senator Bernie Sanders, speak at the second Democratic primary debate of the 2020 presidential campaign season on Jun 27, 2019.

2020 can follow the same roadmap of 1992 and 2008 with a candidate outside the top two building support, hitting a stride, taking the Democratic nomination, and ending up in the Oval Office. Democratic 2020 US presidential candidate Senator Elizabeth Warren acknowledges her supporters at a political rally in Raleigh, North Carolina on Nov 7, 2019.

And Bloomberg does not have all of Biden’s strengths. Joe Biden has great appeal to the African-American community. The former Mayor of New York has potential problems with black voters given his police department’s use of stop-and-frisk policing, which disproportionately targeted minorities. So, he loses those votes.

Why? If the result of the four early states is a muddle, with three or four candidates each winning one, it becomes a wide-open delegate contest and Bloomberg has the money to go after delegate counts.

 

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