Commentary: Israel-Hamas conflict - key takeaways for Singapore amid seismic shifts in the Middle East

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There is no telling how the Israel-Hamas conflict will end. What is certain is that there will be more deaths and misery inflicted on the people of both sides, says Carl Skadian, senior associate director at the Middle East Institute, NUS.

People standing on a rooftop watch as a ball of fire and smoke rises above a building in Gaza City on Oct 7, 2023 during an Israeli air strike that hit the Palestine Tower building. in another spasm of violence. The Israeli armed forces have responded by launching strikes against more than 1,000 targets, cutting off the flow of electricity, water and food toThere is no telling how all this will end.

That normalisation is at the centre of everything is clear from the response of Iran, Hamas’ ideological and political partner, and patron. Israeli and American intelligence officials have admitted that there has been- so far - and Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei has said as much. He did say, however, that “we kiss the foreheads and arms of the resourceful and intelligent designers” of the attack.

The latter includes many former high-ranking military and intelligence officials. Many reservists have refused to report for duty, and this has affected the Israeli Defense Forces’ operational readiness. Moves provoked by right-wing ministers have emboldened settlers in the West Bank, requiring the IDF to deploy more forces to the area to prevent growing violence, distracting it from the Gaza front.

The lesson is clear: Without unity, even a powerful military will have trouble when the country it defends is fractured.Barely over a week before the attacks, the United States National Security Adviser, Jake Sullivan, boldly proclaimed that the Middle East is now “quieter today than it has been in two decades”. His timing could not have been worse.’s prowess in putting out brush fires in the volatile region. It now lies in tatters, to almost no one’s surprise.

 

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