Climate change is raising the threat level on rain across the world

The Beijing Meteorological Bureau said an average of 170.9mm of rain inundated the city between Saturday night and noon on Monday, nearly equivalent to the average rainfall for the entire month of July.

As temperatures increase, so too does evaporation – a relationship familiar to anyone who has tried drying clothes outside in winter versus summer. That is because warmer air is able to absorb more water;“That means that globally, there’s going to be more precipitation,” says Dr Anthony J. Broccoli, a professor of atmospheric sciences at Rutgers University and co-director of the Rutgers Climate Institute.

Those models rely on both weather records going back to the 1800s and paleoclimate data – information gleaned from past geological and environmental sources such as ice core samples and tree rings, to reconstruct the earth’s ancient climate and atmospheric conditions. The signals that scientists have been able to parse are concerning. The NCA’s water chapter notes that “heavy precipitation in most parts of the US has increased in both intensity and frequency since 1901 and are projected to increase over this century”.

As the climate warms, the air that rises gets warmer, meaning it holds more water and can yield more intense rainfall when it hits the upper atmosphere.

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