Analysis: Next General Election likely to be held in late 2024 at the earliest

SINGAPORE — Singapore can expect its next General Election to most likely be held in November 2024 at the earliest, political analysts told CNA, after Prime Minister Lee Hsien Loong announced on Sunday his timeline for handing over leadership to Deputy Prime Minister Lawrence Wong.

As for the exact timing of the polls, Associate Professor Tan said that if it does not happen after Budget 2024, it could fall at the end of the year, given his suspicions that Mr Lee will deliver his last National Day Rally speech in August. "My assessment is that after handing over the reins to DPM Wong, the new leadership might want to quickly entrench his position by calling for an election soonest."

“Handing over the premiership before the GE should be viewed as PM’s expression of confidence in the 4G leaders, especially when there appears to be little opportunity going forward for the 4G leaders to show their mettle,” Ms Ngiow added. Dr Koh said that with Mr Lee's announcement, notice has been given to the PAP leaders and rank and file that they have a year to prepare themselves for the next GE at least.

“After , I will be at the new PM's disposal. I will go wherever he thinks I can be useful. I will do my best to help him fight and win the next GE,” said Mr Lee on Sunday. That said, some retirements may be expected, and could take place in a “major” Cabinet reshuffle as soon as before the end of 2023, or else in early 2024, according to Assoc Prof Tan.

And it is in response to changing demands among Singaporeans when it comes to political leadership and how policies should be made, said SMU’s Assoc Prof Tan.Dr Felix Tan said: “What we'll see in Lawrence Wong’s term or tenure as prime minister in the future, is probably an extension of a very consultative kind of government.”

The PAP must improve how it communicates – not just through government communications – and must make clear what it stands for and its long-term plans, he said.

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