Analysis-Fall in China's US$1.3 trln land sales to test local finances, economy

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BEIJING : Sagging demand at China's urban land auctions amid a crackdown on borrowing by private developers risks squeezing regional finances, pressuring local governments to scramble for other income sources to fund investments and support the economy. Land sales soared to a record 8.4 trillion yuan (US$

BEIJING : Sagging demand at China's urban land auctions amid a crackdown on borrowing by private developers risks squeezing regional finances, pressuring local governments to scramble for other income sources to fund investments and support the economy.

Further falls could force regional governments, who on average depend on land sales for a fifth of their revenue, to cut spending and investment. Many economists have already downgraded China's 2021 GDP growth forecast, due to a cooling property market and contagion risks from indebted property behemoth China Evergrande.

Graphic: Monthly Land Sales in Mainland China - https://graphics.reuters.com/CHINA-ECONOMY/PROPERTY-LAND/egvbkydgdpq/chart.pngIn an attempt to better control land prices in the country's most valuable locations, and by extension, prices of finished homes, authorities said in February that China's 22 biggest cities can only conduct three rounds of land auctions this year.

In an ongoing round of auctions in June-October, about 40per cent of the plots on offer were withdrawn or had no bidders as of Sept. 30, a Reuters analysis of over 1,000 public notices showed. That compared with 5per cent of untaken offers in the first round. To offset poorer land sales, local governments could issue more bonds, but that would raise the prospect of a higher debt burden, Moody's warned in a report.

In the southwestern megacity of Chengdu, state-controlled China Railway Construction Corp placed bids for 15 plots of land and put down a whopping deposit of 4.28 billion yuan .

Source: Financial Digest (financialdigest.net)

 

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